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Technology’s Moral Crisis

2017 February 26
by Greg Satell

On July 16th, 1945, when the world’s first nuclear explosion shook the plains of New Mexico, J. Robert Oppenheimer, who led the project, quoted from the Bhagavad Gita, “Now I am become Death, the destroyer of worlds.” And indeed he had. The world was never truly the same after nuclear power became a reality.

In the years that followed, it became fashionable for many scientists to become activists. In 1955, Albert Einstein and the philosopher Bertrand Russell issued a manifesto that highlighted the dangers of nuclear weapons, which was signed by 10 Nobel Laureates. Later, a petition signed by 11,000 scientists helped lead to the Partial Test Ban Treaty.

Today, even small businesses are gaining access to advanced technologies like artificial intelligence and gene editing and that’s going to put managers in an unusual position. Much like nuclear energy, these are incredibly powerful, but not under the control of governments or, in fact, any large institution. This time, we all need to hold ourselves responsible.

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4 Things You Need To Build An Innovative Culture

2017 February 22
by Greg Satell

In the late 1960’s, Gary Starkweather had a serious spat with his boss.  As an engineer in Xerox’s long-range xerography unit, he saw that laser printing could be a huge business opportunity. His manager, however, was focused on improving the efficiency of the current product line, not looking to start another one.  

The argument got so heated that Starkweather’s job came to be in jeopardy. Fortunately, his rabble rousing caught the attention of another division within the company, the Palo Alto Research Center (PARC) which wasn’t interested in efficiency, but inventing a new future and they eagerly welcomed Starkweather into their ranks.

Within a decade, Xerox’s copying business declined sharply, but the laser printer took off and soon became the firm’s main source of revenue. In effect, the work that was squelched in one culture, thrived in another and saved the company. We tend to think innovation is about ideas, but it depends on people even more. Here’s how you create an innovative culture.

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Here’s What’s Wrong With Your Great Idea

2017 February 19
by Greg Satell

When Steve Jobs launched the iPhone in 2007, many pundits were less than impressed. Some said that its unusual shape made it unwieldy. Others thought that it was too expensive. Still others remarked that all the extra software made it a poor choice for its primary function — making phone calls.

But part of Jobs’s genius was his ability to recognize patterns that others couldn’t. Executives at Xerox, for example, didn’t see much potential in the Alto, but he built the Macintosh based on it. When music players seemed like a dead end, he reimagined them with the iPod and transformed the industry.

The problem with patterns is that it’s so devilishly hard to tell the good ones from the bad. What may look like a promising pattern is often out of context or incomplete. Sometimes, we think we see a pattern that isn’t really there. That’s what makes innovation so difficult, we can never validate new patterns by looking backward, we can only test them going forward.

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Why IBM Bets On Patents

2017 February 15
by Greg Satell

IBM recently announced that broke the record for patents granted to a single company, with 8,088 patents being granted to its inventors, most of which are in key emerging areas such as machine learning, cloud computing and cyber security. To put that number in perspective, it is more than were granted to Google, Microsoft, Amazon and Facebook combined.

Clearly, the number of patents IBM consistently puts out year after year is impressive, but some would also say that it’s excessive and irrelevant. Tesla has open sourced its patents while others, like Google, have open sourced key technologies. Apple, which receives relatively few patents, has dominated the industry for a decade.

Yet IBM’s commitment to patents is unwavering. Since 1993, the number of patents it has benn awarded has increased at a compound annual rate of more than 9 percent. So to learn more about why IBM puts so much emphasis on patents, I talked to Bernie Meyerson, the company’s Chief Innovation Officer. What he had to say explains a lot about IBM’s strategy.

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You Can Never Create The Future By Targeting The Present

2017 February 12

In the 1930’s, the great industrialist George Eastman engaged in a minor debate with his friend, the education reformer Abraham Flexner, about who contributed most to science. Eastman pointed to Guglielmo Marconi, the inventor of radio and transformed the world.

Yet Flexner argued that given the discoveries of scientists like James Clerk Maxwell and Heinrich Hertz, Marconi’s invention was inevitable. While neither men pursued any practical application of their work, it was their boundless curiosity that led them to the principles that created a revolution.

Chris Dixon has written that “the next big thing will start out looking like a toy,” but that is only half of the story. The truth is that the next big thing starts out looking like nothing much at all. Many great discoveries, such as that of penicillin, spent years lying in obscure journals before someone noticed that they could have a practical use. That’s where the future lies.

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Data And Technology Don’t Change Your Culture, They Reveal it

2017 February 8
by Greg Satell

In Weapons of Math Destruction, mathematician and data scientist Cathy O’Neil paints a disturbing picture of how data can go awry. “Black box” algorithms that make decisions with little to no transparency or accountability can lead to bizarre situations in which judgments are handed down with no possibility of appeal.

For example, she tells the story of Sarah Wysocki, a teacher who, despite being widely respected by her students, their parents and her peers, was fired because she performed poorly according to an algorithm. She now works at another school district that uses humans to evaluate teachers.

Yet Cava Grill, a restaurant chain similar to Chipotle but focused on healthy Mediterranean cuisine, shows that the problem really isn’t with data or algorithms, but with us. The firm has built a strong culture around data even among its front line employees. The secret, as it turns out, has nothing to do with technology, but what your culture is like to begin with.

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Innovation Is Combination

2017 February 5
by Greg Satell

Much has been made about the difference between innovation and invention. One writer went so far as to argue that Steve Jobs development of the iPod wasn’t an innovation because it was dependent on so much that came before it. A real innovation, so the argument goes, must be truly transformational, like the IBM PC, which created an entire industry.

The problem with these kind of word games is that they lead us to an infinite regress. The IBM PC can be seen as the logical extension of the microchip, which was the logical extension of the transistor. These, in turn, rose in part through earlier developments, such Turing’s universal computer and the completely irrational science of quantum mechanics.

The truth is that innovation is never a single event, but happens when fundamental concepts combine with important problems to create an impact. Traditionally, that’s been done within a particular organization or field, but to come up with breakthrough ideas in the 21st century, we increasingly need to transcend conventional boundaries of company and industry.

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America Isn’t Out Of Ideas. In Fact, A New Era Of Innovation Is About To Begin

2017 February 1
by Greg Satell

Is America out of ideas? Scott Ip of The Wall Street Journal seems to think so. In a recent article, he points out, correctly, that total factor productivity growth has “steadily fallen” since its peak in the 1950’s and 60’s. According to Ip, rising research costs and greater regulatory burdens have reduced our ability to innovate.

“Outside of personal technology, improvements in everyday life have been incremental, not revolutionary,” he writes. “Houses, appliances and cars look much like they did a generation ago. Airplanes fly no faster than in the 1960s. None of the 20 most-prescribed drugs in the U.S. came to market in the past decade.”

This is not a new argument. In fact, economist Robert Gordon makes many of the same points in his book, The Rise and Fall of American Growth. Still, while the issues that both Ip and Gordon raise are very real, they are only part of the story. Innovation is not about the past, but the future and, we may very well be entering a new era of accelerated innovation.

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To Create Real Change, You Need To Do More Than Just Protest

2017 January 29
by Greg Satell

Throughout history, social movements — small groups, loosely connected but united by a shared purpose — have created transformational change. Women’s suffrage and civil rights in the U.S., Indian independence, the color revolutions in Eastern Europe, and the Arab Spring all hinged on the powerless banding together against the powerful.

In these movements, protests play an important role. Consider the recent marches in Poland concerning an unpopular abortion law. They inspired millions to take further actions, including a women’s strike, that convinced lawmakers to back down.

Still, protests like the massive global marches that took place last weekend, although crucially important for creating transformational change, are merely a first step. There are clear reasons why some movements succeed and others fail, and activists need to take history’s lessons to heart. To truly make an impact, a movement needs to follow five steps:

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Over The Next 5 Years, IBM Sees Atoms Fusing With Bits To Create New Insights

2017 January 25
by Greg Satell

When René Descartes wrote “I think, therefore I am” in the mid 1600s, he was doing more than coining a clever phrase, he was making an argument for a rational world ruled by pure logic. He believed that you could find the answers to problems you needed to solve merely by thinking about them clearly.

Yet Descartes and his rational movement soon ran out of steam. Many of the great minds that followed, such as John Locke and David Hume, took a more empirical view and argued that we can only truly understand the world around us through our experiences, however flawed and limited they may be.

A similar tension has been brewing in the 21st century with big data being used to build predictive models that drive human decisions. However, in its 5 in 5 — five predictions for the next five years — IBM Research sees a new era emerging in which software and instrumentation will combine to give us unprecedented insights into the physical world.

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